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ISSN : 2582-6271

Title:
ANALYSIS OF FLOOD SUSCEPTIBILITY IN NORTHERN ANAMBRA STATE, NIGERIA USING GEOSPATIAL TECHNOLOGY

Authors:
I.R. Igboanugo, S.O. Iheukwumere, M.C. Obikwelu, M.L. Ozoemene, C.C. Umeogu, P.I Eburu and D.C. Onuoha

Abstract:
The vulnerability of the Northern region in Anambra was modelled using the Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP,) Best Worst Method (BWM) and Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation Method (CRITIC Method) by performing a pairwise comparison matrix of the nine flood influential factors with the aid of GIS. This was modelled with the aid of Geographic Information System (GIS). GIS, is a sophisticated software for modelling and predicting spatial aspects of the real world. Nine flood conditioning factors were used to model the flood susceptibility of Northern Anambra region. The conditioning factors for the analysis include rainfall, slope, aspect, lithology, LULC, elevation, SPI, NDVI, and drainage density. The value obtained from AHP, BWM and CRITIC method analysis indicated that 73%, 72% and 78% of the land area is susceptible to flooding, thus this implies that about 1197.89km2 out of the 1794km2 are liable to experience frequent flooding events. These values were validated with AUC curve, with AHP, BWM and CRITIC method having an accuracy prediction of 74%, 73% and 78% respectively at 95% level of confidence. According to the flood inventory and the modelled map, flooding is evident in the southwest, west, and southeastern parts of the study area. Rainfall is weighted as the highest influencing factor for AHP and BWM but Aspect weighted the highest influencing factor for CRITIC method. Thus, we recommend that effort for provision of sophisticated drainage system, which will enable water to make its path to the river in the rainy season, this will mitigate dry land being submerged in water at every rainy season.

Keywords:
Flood, susceptibility, Geospatial, Flood Analysis, Disaster Management, Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP), Best Worst Method (BWM), Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation Method (CRITIC method).

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52267/IJASER.2023.4408

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